2025 Housing Market Outlook: What Buyers and Sellers Need to Know Now

Dana+Jeff Luxury Homes

08/5/25

2025 Housing Market Outlook: What Buyers and Sellers Need to Know Now

The housing market in 2025 isn’t crashing — it’s cooling. And that’s not bad news.

If you’ve been on the sidelines waiting for a major shift, you're not alone. Many buyers have been hoping for a big drop in home prices or a sudden dip in mortgage rates. But the reality? The rest of 2025 is shaping up to be more balanced — not a boom, not a bust.

Let’s break down what’s really happening and how it affects your next move.


Are Home Prices Dropping?

We’re hearing the question daily: “Should I wait to buy until prices fall?”

The truth is, while appreciation has definitely slowed from the breakneck pace of previous years, most national forecasts still show modest price increases ahead — averaging between 1.5% and 2% growth by year-end.

 

That doesn’t mean every neighborhood will see gains. Some overheated markets are seeing minor price reductions — but we're talking dips of around 3%, not a freefall.

Remember, prices are still up 55% nationally over the past five years, according to the FHFA. So even if we see some localized softening, this isn’t a repeat of 2008. We're in a recalibration, not a crisis.


What About Mortgage Rates?

A lot of would-be buyers are waiting for rates to come back down. But here's the kicker — most experts believe they won’t (at least not significantly) this year.

Current projections from industry analysts suggest we’ll likely hover in the mid-6% range through the end of 2025. That’s not far from where we are now. While it's not the 3% golden era, it's also not expected to jump into the 7s or 8s either — barring any economic surprises.

So, if you’re putting your plans on pause in hopes of scoring a drastically better rate, you may be holding out for something that simply isn’t on the radar.


So, What Should Buyers and Sellers Do?

This market rewards strategy, not guesswork.

  • Buyers: If you find the right home and it fits your budget, consider locking in sooner rather than later. Waiting might cost you more in rising prices or lost opportunity.

  • Sellers: Inventory is still tight in many areas, which means well-presented, well-priced homes are still moving. Don’t let the headlines make you think it’s a bad time to list.

Above all, real estate remains hyper-local. Market conditions in Calabasas or Hidden Hills can look very different from trends across the state or country.


Let’s Talk About Your Strategy

At Frontgate Real Estate, we’re not here to chase headlines — we’re here to guide you through real decisions with local expertise, smart tools, and real-time market insight.

Whether you're buying, selling, or just exploring your options, we’ll help you make sense of the noise and build a plan that makes sense for you.

💬 Want to see what your home is worth?

 

 

 

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We offer the highest level of expertise and service with integrity. Jeff Biebuyck & Dana Olmes are Luxury Homes Specialists in Calabasas with a particular expertise in representing residential estate properties throughout the West San Fernando Valley, Conejo Valley, Malibu and Greater Los Angeles area. As consummate professionals, Jeff Biebuyck & Dana Olmes provide their clients with the highest level of service to reach their unique real estate goals.

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